Service Plays Friday 8/6/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Streaking and Slumping Pitchers

Streaking

Bronson Arroyo (11-6, 4.01 ERA), Cincinnati Reds

Besides one ugly, seven-run outing, this right-handed hurler has been money in the bank. The Reds are 6-3 in Arroyo’s last nine starts and the under is 7-2 over the same stretch.

The former Red Sox went 4-2 with a 2.81 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP (walks + hits per inning) in the month of July.

Francisco Liriano (10-7, 3.18 ERA), Minnesota Twins

Liriano’s last three starts have all been gems but each of them came against terrible clubs. The talented lefty is on a 21-inning shutout streak, holding the Mariners, Royals and Indians off the scoreboard.

"He kept our hitters off balance. When you have his stuff and you're on and you're hitting your spots, it's pretty tough to hit a guy like that," Seattle's Michael Saunders told reporters after Liriano struck out 11 Mariners and walked two.

The Twins are 4-0 in their ace’s last four appearances and they’ve covered the runline in each of those outings too.

Wandy Rodriguez (9-11, 4.49 ERA), Houston Astros

The ‘Stros have pretty solid 1-2 punch with Brett Myers and this 31-year-old southpaw. Rodriguez is 6-1 with a 1.91 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP in his last seven trips to the bump. He’s been an underdog in four of those starts, too.

"He's throwing the ball extremely well, commanding that fastball, which is setting up the curveball," Astros manager Brad Mills told the Associated Press after
Rodriguez gave up no runs and struck out nine in eight innings of work against the Brewers last week. "He was really hitting on that curveball today. When he's able to spot that fastball and his curveball's like it is, it's going to be tough."


Slumping

Tommy Hanson (8-8, 3.83 ERA), Atlanta Braves

Tommy Hanson isn’t getting a lot of help from his mates at the dish or in the field. The hard-throwing youngster is 0-3 in his last four starts despite owning a respectable 2.55 ERA during that period.

The Braves averaged just two runs per game over his cold streak and they made even worse by allowing four unearned runs with Hanson on the hill.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (145, 6.5)

Whether as a Mariner or a Ranger, lefthanded ace Cliff Lee has enjoyed his best days against the Oakland A's - both this season and in his career.

Lee is 4-2 with a 2.26 ERA vs. the A's - his lowest ERA against any team in baseball - but that number is inflated compared to his last outing against Oakland.

Lee settled for a no-decision last week against the A's despite allowing no earned runs over nine innings of work and throwing 13 strikeouts to no walks.

"That game was all Cliff Lee," teammate Michael Young said. "You can't say enough about the job he did. Their starting pitcher threw the ball really well, but Cliff dealt for nine innings."

Lee will be out for revenge in this one and will face off with fellow lefty Dallas Braden, who is back on track with back-to-back wins. But he is just 1-3 lifetime against the Rangers with a 3.86 ERA.

Pick: Rangers


St. Louis Cardinals at Florida Marlins (130, 6.5)

Cardinals righthander Adam Wainwright should consider a career in deep-sea fishing after baseball because he's always had a knack for hooking the Marlins.

Wainwright is 3-1 lifetime with a 2.61 ERA against the Fish. His lone loss to Florida came in his last meeting - a 2-1 pitchers' duel in which he lasted seven innings.

Wainwright had eight strikeouts to only one walk in that one, bring his career total against the Marlins to 37 Ks and 10 Ws over 38 innings. In his last six starts, he has 33 Ks to only three Ws.

Wainwright faces an equally hot righty in Ricky Nolasco, who has won three straight starts in impressive fashion. But he hasn't been as lucky against the Cards, going 0-2 with a 5.92 ERA.

The Cards have won 19 of their last 28 against the Marlins, who are batting just .233 against righties over their last 10. Look for the Cards to squish the Fish.

Pick: Cardinals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Tulsa Shock at Los Angeles Sparks (-8, 161.5)

The Shock haven’t had much to celebrate in their first season since moving from Detroit to Tulsa. But one of those rare moments took place last Tuesday, when the WNBA’s worst team defeated its best.

The Shock rocked the Seattle Storm, 84-75, as 12.5-point home underdogs, picking up just their fifth win of the 2010 season. Tulsa forced 25 turnovers, shot 50 percent from beyond the arc and made 14 steals and four blocks, snapping a seven-game losing skid.

"Just so excited," Scholanda Robinson told reporters. "A little bit of relief, but it just feels really good. We put a great game together from beginning to end. It is just domination. We beat the best team in our league and it just shows what a great team we are. When we come to play our game and we play for 40 minutes, we can beat anybody."

Tulsa takes that momentum to Los Angeles Friday to face the 9-17 L.A. Sparks, who sit in front of the Shock in the basement of the Western Conference.

Los Angeles needed overtime to defeat Tulsa in their last meeting, sneaking away with an 86-83 win at home but failing to cover as a 7-point favorite on July 20. The Sparks are coming off a win and cover against the Chicago Sky Wednesday, but are just 3-7-2 against the spread inside the Staples Center this season.

Pick: Tulsa


Atlanta Dream at Indiana Fever (-5.5, 162)

The Indiana Fever were challenging for the top spot in the Eastern Conference until hitting a three-game slide, leaving them looking for answers against the Atlanta Dream, the only team ahead of them in the standings.

Indiana dropped its third game in a row to the New York Liberty Tuesday, falling 82-72 as a 7.5-point home favorite. The Fever were the best home team in the WNBA before this slump, but have dropped their last two outings inside Conseco Fieldhouse to fall to 10-4 at home (7-7 ATS).

“(We have to) try to figure out a way to win. Pull together as a team. Find out whatever we’re lacking and start to sew it up as nice as we can and try to start peaking here pretty soon, right now before we get to the playoffs,” forward Ebony Hoffman told the media following the team’s third straight defeat.

The Fever’s top-ranked defense, which has allowed only 72.1 points against per game this season, has given up an average of 83 points during this skid, including 90 points to Atlanta in a 90-74 thrashing just last weekend.

The Dream and Fever have split their four previous meetings this season, but Atlanta holds the edge at the sportsbook, going 3-1 against the spread in those games.

Pick: Atlanta

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL DUNKEL

Toronto at Edmonton
The Argonauts look to take advantage of a Edmonton team that is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 home games. Toronto is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6). Here are all of today's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, AUGUST 6

Game 441-442: Saskatchewan at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 114.870; Montreal 123.404
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 8 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Montreal by 5; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-5); Over

Game 443-444: Toronto at Edmonton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 108.722; Edmonton 108.713
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: Edmonton by 6; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL WRITE-UP

Week 6 CFL games

Saskatchewan (4-1) @ Montreal (4-1)-- Roughriders (+3) were down by two TDs at half in season opener vs Montreal, rallied for 54-51 OT win that didn't quite avenge 28-27 loss in LY's Grey Cup. Als won last four games, scoring 37-41 points in last two, their only two home games this year. Last three Montreal games stayed unde; four of five Rider games went over. Saskatchewan is allowing average of 463.2 ypg.

Toronto (3-2) @ Edmonton (1-4)-- Argos' three wins are by total of nine points; they're 1-2 on road, losing 30-16 at Calgary, 41-10 at Montreal- they scored 24+ points in all three wins. Eskimos allowed 28.3 ppg in losing first four games, then got their first win 28-25 at home vs BC last week- they allowed average of 179.3 rushing yards in last three games. Three of Edmonton's four losses are by 10+ points.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bettors' best friend: Friday's wagering tips

Lines off the board

Reds at Cubs: Total is off the board pending the wind speed and direction at Wrigley Field.

Lines to keep an eye on

White Sox at Orioles: Total opened at 8.5 but has climbed to 9 at most books.

Mets at Phillies: Total opened at 9 but has slipped to 8.5 at some books.

Roughriders at Alouttes (CFL): Alouttes opened as -5 faves but have been bet up to -7. Total opened at 60.5 but has fallen to 60.

Argonauts at Eskimos (CFL): Eskimos opened as -6 favorites but have slipped to -5.

Mystics at Liberty (WNBA): Liberty opened at -2 but have been bet to -3.5 at most books. Total opened at 146 and has soared to 149.5.

Silver Stars at Mercury (WNBA): Total opened at 189 but has jumped to 190.5 at most books.

Weather to watch

Giants at Braves: 40 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Cardinals at Marlins: 30 percent chance of thunderstorms.

Who's hot

Rays are 10-3 in their last 13.

Astros are 7-1 in their last eight.

White Sox are 9-2 in their last 11.

Twins are 12-3 in their last 15.

Padres have won six in a row over Diamondbacks.

Rockies are 5-1 in their last six.

Who's not

Cubs are 1-7 in their last eight.

Pirates are 1-6 in their last seven.

Angels are 3-13 in their last 16 on the road.

Tigers are 5-18 in their last 23.

Red Sox are 1-8 in their last nine in N.Y.

Mariners are 1-7 in their last nine.

Key stat

49-10 - Combined score of the last six meetings between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs. The Reds scored 14 twice and 12 once in those games.

Injury that shouldn't be overlooked

Boston Red Sox first baseman Kevin Youkilis will undergo season-ending surgery on his right thumb, making his team's battle for a playoff spot even more of an uphill battle. Youkilils will be in a cast for up to six weeks after the surgery but won't be ready to play until the start of next season. Youkilis was batting .307 with 19 home runs and 62 RBIs in 362. The Red Sox have a healthy Mike Lowell ready to fill in but he can't produce at the level of his predecessor.

Game of the day

Red Sox at Yankees (-145, 9)

Notable quotable

"It pretty much can't happen any place but here. I know it works both ways but to lose a game in a pennant situation like that because of a roof indicates why there's a crying need for a new ballpark."

Tampa Bay Rays manager Joe Maddon said Thursday after Minnesota Twins outfielder Jason Kubel's ninth-inning pop-up hit the catwalk at Tropicana Field for the game-winning RBI single.

Tips and notes

Last-minute trades aren't "Dunn" just yet. An unidentified team has claimed Washington Nationals outfielder Adam Dunn off waivers, FOXSports.com reported Thursday. The Nationals are only permitted to deal with the team that made the waiver claim until Monday. Had Dunn cleared waivers, the Nationals could have discussed a trade with all 29 major-league teams. Washington would like to move Dunn, who is set to make $4 million the rest of the season. The 30-year-old is hitting .277 with 28 home runs and 71 RBIs in 386 at-bats so far this season.

Washington Nationals may be losing a big bat in Dunn but they are regaining a golden arm. Rookie phenom Stephen Strasburg looked strong in a simulated game Thursday as he continues rehabbing a shoulder injury. Strasburg faced nine hitters and threw approximately 40 pitches. He reported no pain in his injured shoulder, which has landed him on the 15-day disabled list. Strasburg, 22, is eligible to return from the DL Tuesday against the Florida Marlins. The righthander is 5-2 with a 2.32 ERA and 75 strikeouts in 54 1/3 innings.

Real Madrid standout Kaka had surgery on his left knee Thursday and may miss up to four months of action. The Brazilian midfielder had long-standing meniscus damage that was revealed after meeting a Belgian knee specialist. Kaka, who joined Real from AC Milan last year for a $85.3 million transfer fee, scored eight goals in 25 Liga appearances last season, but had a disappointing World Cup for Brazil, which lost in the semifinals to the Netherlands.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher

STL (-140) over FLA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Nolan Fernandez

golden ticket
cincinnati .(-109)


Bonus Play
houston .(+125)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL NEWS AND NOTES
CFL Write Up-Week 6 Games

Saskatchewan (4-1) @ Montreal (4-1)
Roughriders (+3) were down by two TDs at half in season opener vs Montreal, rallied for 54-51 OT win that didn't quite avenge 28-27 loss in LY's Grey Cup. Als won last four games, scoring 37-41 points in last two, their only two home games this year. Last three Montreal games stayed unde; four of five Rider games went over. Saskatchewan is allowing average of 463.2 ypg.

Toronto (3-2) @ Edmonton (1-4)
Argos' three wins are by total of nine points; they're 1-2 on road, losing 30-16 at Calgary, 41-10 at Montreal- they scored 24+ points in all three wins. Eskimos allowed 28.3 ppg in losing first four games, then got their first win 28-25 at home vs BC last week- they allowed average of 179.3 rushing yards in last three games. Three of Edmonton's four losses are by 10+ points.

Winnipeg (2-3) @ Hamilton (1-4)
Teams already split two meetings in '10; Bombers (+3) won first meeting 49-29, running ball for 211 yards, then lost rematch 28-7 (+3.5) in game they trailed 14-0 at half. TiCats are allowing 41.3 ppg on road, 15 ppg at home. Winnipeg scored 49-47 points in its two wins, 34-7-20 in losses. Three of last four Hamilton games stayed under the total.

Calgary (4-1) @ BC Lions (1-4)
Lions lost last four games, last three by 4-4-3 points; BC scored only 15 ppg in losing both its home games. Stampeders allowed 22 or less points in its wins, 27 in loss at Toronto. Three of last four Calgary games were decided by three or less points. Stamps split pair of road games, winning 23-22 at Hamilton, losing next week at Toronto 27-24. Under is 3-1-1 in BC games this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTGENIUS

Cincinnati Reds ML w/Arroyo

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Joker's Bet of the Day:

Back FC Rostov at 2.06 to beat Terek Grozny

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo triumphed with Texas and the Twins yes terday but harrumphed with the Tribe so he closed the day with a reduced debt of 1,170 tracewskis.

Tonight, he ain't Javy; he's Mr. Aitch's pitcher -- 10 units on Vazquez and the Yanks. Also, 10 more on Nolasco, no less, to cut the Cards.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
490 - 361 run 58 %

Bonus Play FRI SL Cards

 

[CaliDreaming]

ASA's 9* MLB DAYGAME DOMINATOR - Reds vs. Cubs WINNER!

PLAY ON 9* Cincinnati (Arroyo) minus on the money line vs. Chicago Cubs (Gorzelanny), Friday at 2:20 PM EST

 

[CaliDreaming]

BIG AL's DAYTIME MLB TOTALS WINNER; 81-57 THIS YEAR.

At 2:20 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs 'under' the total

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

808 sports picks mlb

Free Pick White Sox RL.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Pro Tipster


Date Country League Event Our pick
06.08.2010 France Ligeu 2 Tours - Sedan Sedan +0.5
06.08.2010 France Ligeu 2 Metz - Evian Evian +1
06.08.2010 France Ligeu 2 Ajaccio - Nimes Nimes +0.5,+1
06.08.2010 France Ligeu 2 Chateauroux - Istres Chateauroux +0

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Friday, August 6

Hot pitchers
-- Gorzelanny is 4-0, 4.11 in his last six starts. Arroyo is 4-2, 3.24 in his last six outings.
-- Nolasco is 7-1, 3.38 in his last eight starts. Wainwright is 5-1, 1.52 in his last seven starts.
-- Zito has a 1.88 RA in his last four starts.
-- WRodriguez is 6-1, 2.30 in his last seven starts (15 scoreless IP in his last two starts).
-- DHudson is 2-1, 3.32 in his last three starts. Garland is 2-1, 3.80 in his last four outings.
-- Kershaw has a 2.57 RA in his last three starts.

-- Weaver is 2-2, 2.67 in his last four starts. Verlander is 3-1, 3.05 in his last six starts.
-- Liriano is 4-0, 0.63 in his last four starts. Gomez is 2-0, 3.00 in his first two '10 starts.
-- Cecil is 1-0, 2.23 in his last five starts.
-- Buchholz is 1-0, 1.20 in his last couple starts.
-- Danks is 4-1, 2.89 in his last five starts.
-- Braden is 2-0, 2.87 in his last couple starts. Lee is 1-1, 2.36 in his last four starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Niese is 1-3, 4.50 in his last five starts. Blanton is 1-1, 5.97 in his last six starts.
-- Hammel is 0-3, 5.67 in his last four starts. Duke is 2-6, 6.95 in his last eight starts.
-- Hanson is 0-3, 3.94 in his last five starts.
-- Bush is 1-2, 11.40 in his last three starts.
-- Lannan is 0-3, 8.88 in his last five starts.

-- Bergesen is 0-7, 7.40 in his last eleven starts.
-- Vazquez has a 5.40 RA in his last three starts.
-- Garza is 0-2, 6.35 against the Blue Jays this season.
-- Greinke is 2-2, 6.23 in his last four starts. French is 0-2, 7.20 in his two starts for Seattle this season.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Cub games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in Mets' last nine road games.
-- Six of last seven Colorado games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4 in Florida's last thirteen games.
-- Five of last six Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Houston road games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Arizona home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine games at Dodger Stadium.

-- Under is 3-1-1 in Angels' last five road games.
-- Five of last seven White Sox road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Minnesota road games went over the total.
-- Over is 12-5 in Tampa Bay's last 17 road games.
-- Over is 9-2-1 in last dozen games in the Bronx. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Boston road games.
-- Under is 16-6 in Rangers' last 22 games.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Kansas City road games.

Hot Teams
-- Cincinnati won six of its last eight games.
-- Braves are 27-8 in their last 35 home games. Giants are 22-8 in their last 30 games overall, but lost last two.
-- Phillies won 12 of their last 14 games.
-- Astros won seven of their last eight games.
-- Padres won five of their last seven road games.

-- Twins won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- White Sox won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Orioles are 3-0 under Showalter, scoring 20 runs.
-- Rays are 9-3 in last dozen games, but lost last two. Toronto is 8-4 in its last twelve games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last ten games.
-- A's won six of their last eight home games. Rangers are 17-7 in their last 24 road games.

Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Mets lost 14 of their last 20 games.
-- Pirates lost six of their last eight games. Rockies lost their last seven away games.
-- Marlins lost last four games, outscored 23-11. Cardinals are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight home games.
-- Nationals lost five of their last seven road games. Dodgers lost seven of their last nine games.

-- Indians lost five of their last six road games.
-- Tigers lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Angels lost 14 of their last 17 road games.
-- Bronx lost four of its last six games.
-- Mariners lost nine of their last ten games. Royals lost eight of their last ten road games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Daily Psychic Baseball Picks


Game 1: Chicago White Sox at Baltimore ( Chiccago White Sox / ML ) @ $1.62
Game 2: Cincinnati at Chi. Cubs ( Cincinnati / ML ) @ $1.98
Game 3: Colorado at Pittsburgh ( Colorado / ML ) @ $1.72
Game 4: Washington at LA Dodgers ( LA Dodgers / RL -1.5 ) @ $1.91
Game 5: San Diego at Arizona ( San Diego / ML ) @ $1.93
Game 6: Tampa Bay at Toronto ( Tampa Bay / ML ) @ $1.91